News fear porn journalism has flooded commerce news today. Specifically, establishment media have pushed the fear pedal to 10 over the recently announced lockdown of the city of Shenzhen by the Chinese government over an alleged outbreak of the coronavirus-2 omicron variant, commonly known as Covid-19 omicron.
Here are sample of headlines:
- COVID-19 outbreak in China threatens global supply chains [CBSNews]
- COVID curbs bite at Chinese ports, threatening global supply chains [Reuters]
- China’s COVID lockdowns set to further disrupt supply chains [ Boston Globe]
Are the Chinese Big Players in Supply Chains?
According to Investopedia, a supply chain is a network between a company and its suppliers to produce and distribute a specific product or service. The key bit there is about producing a product.
A quick look at exports from China reveals that Chinese primarily are exporters of finished products. Mostly, the Chinese export TVs, laptops, furniture, toys, fabrications of metal.
In other words, these Chinese, in the main, are not suppliers of inputs that form finished products. To claim otherwise is to distort reality and likely for political purposes.
Now, it is true that retailers such as Wal-Mart might be affected by what are Chinese final goods production disruptions. Yet, to call these "supply chain" problems is a big lie.
The Russia Disruption and Supply Chains
The idiotic sanctions imposed on Russia by the Biden and United States, the UK, the EU and Japan truly will interrupt supply chains. The Russians are exporters of raw materials mostly and raw materials are inputs in supply chains.
Many countries simply can not make stuff profitably without imported Russian inputs. A few big countries can not feed their people without imported Russian foodstuffs like Russian wheat. Egypt is a prime example of such countries.
Interestingly, the countries that have sanctioned Russia are most likely to be losers of imported Russian inputs.
Of the sanctioning countries, the biggest imports by percent that are supply chain inputs looks
- Netherlands, crude and refined petroleum, 78.7% of imports
- UK, gold, platinum, crude and refined petroleum, 87.37% of imports
- Germany, crude and refined petroleum, coal briquettes, platinum, 74.84% of imports
- Korea, crude and refined petroleum, coal briquettes, petroleum gas, 78.82% of imports
- USA, platinum, crude and refined petroleum, radioactive chemicals, nitrogenous fertilizers, pig iron, 74.66% of imports
- Italy, crude and refined petroleum, petroleum gas, 91.5% of imports