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earnings"},{"term":"primaries"},{"term":"privacy"},{"term":"private"},{"term":"privatization"},{"term":"productivity"},{"term":"products"},{"term":"professors"},{"term":"prognostication"},{"term":"prohibition"},{"term":"propaganda stunts"},{"term":"propane"},{"term":"prosperity"},{"term":"prostitution"},{"term":"protests"},{"term":"pseudo"},{"term":"pseudo-intellectual"},{"term":"psy ops"},{"term":"punk rockers"},{"term":"puppetry"},{"term":"races"},{"term":"racist groups"},{"term":"rail"},{"term":"range"},{"term":"rankings"},{"term":"real dollars"},{"term":"realignment"},{"term":"realism"},{"term":"recessions"},{"term":"reciprocity"},{"term":"reckoning"},{"term":"red pill"},{"term":"redistribution"},{"term":"reggae"},{"term":"renewable energy"},{"term":"reports"},{"term":"reputation"},{"term":"risk"},{"term":"robbery"},{"term":"safety"},{"term":"salaries"},{"term":"salvation"},{"term":"sanction"},{"term":"satellite"},{"term":"satellite TV"},{"term":"savings 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sticks"},{"term":"stupidity"},{"term":"success"},{"term":"suffering"},{"term":"surgeon general"},{"term":"surveillance"},{"term":"tariffs"},{"term":"technology"},{"term":"test"},{"term":"the West"},{"term":"the future"},{"term":"theory"},{"term":"third quarter"},{"term":"trackers"},{"term":"traffic"},{"term":"transsexuality"},{"term":"travel"},{"term":"unemployment rate"},{"term":"units"},{"term":"urban whites"},{"term":"velocity"},{"term":"viewership"},{"term":"wage gap"},{"term":"wars"},{"term":"weather"},{"term":"whimsy"},{"term":"white genocide"},{"term":"white males"},{"term":"work"},{"term":"world government"},{"term":"yield curve"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"TRUE DOLLAR JOURNAL"},"subtitle":{"type":"html","$t":"Leading Republic Restorationists."},"link":[{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/truedollarjournal.blogspot.com\/feeds\/posts\/default"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/2938080886449362778\/posts\/default\/-\/polling?alt=json-in-script\u0026max-results=6"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/truedollarjournal.blogspot.com\/search\/label\/polling"},{"rel":"hub","href":"http://pubsubhubbub.appspot.com/"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Anonymous"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/15342121843435066933"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"https:\/\/img1.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"generator":{"version":"7.00","uri":"http://www.blogger.com","$t":"Blogger"},"openSearch$totalResults":{"$t":"3"},"openSearch$startIndex":{"$t":"1"},"openSearch$itemsPerPage":{"$t":"6"},"entry":[{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2938080886449362778.post-1138275441744475685"},"published":{"$t":"2016-02-20T07:25:00.000-08:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2016-03-14T23:14:37.353-07:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"2016"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"politics"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"polling"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"POTUS"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"propaganda"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"USA"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"THE AUGUSTA CHRONICLE, NBC TV, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL AND MARIST COLLEGE ENGAGE IN POLLING DECEPTION FOR THE SOUTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY"},"content":{"type":"html","$t":"\u003Cbr \/\u003ETwo recent surveys on the eve of the South Carolina Republican Primary reveal significant flaws such, which invalidate the results.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EThe principal owner of the Wall Street Journal happens to be Rupurt Murdoch. Murdoch is the principal owner of FOX News. Murdoch seems to be against the candidacy of Donald Trump. Perhaps this is why his survey uses flawed methods.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAs it is, already, in\u0026nbsp;\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/bizarrotheater.blogspot.com\/2015\/12\/the-des-moines-register-and-bloomberg.html\"\u003ETHE DES MOINES REGISTER AND BLOOMBERG COMMIT POLLING FRAUD ON DECEMBER 12, 2015, FOR THE UPCOMING GOP CAUCUS\u003C\/a\u003E and\u0026nbsp;\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/bizarrotheater.blogspot.com\/2016\/02\/why-every-presidential-election-poll.html\"\u003EWHY EVERY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION POLL FOR 2016 YOU SHALL SEE OR HEAR WILL BE WRONG\u003C\/a\u003E, I have shown you significant flaws in how polling has been done, especially for nationwide polls\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ELet's look at two wrong polls.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003EThe Augusta Chronicle\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EClaimed Result: Trump 27, Rubio 24, Cruz 19, Bush 11, Kasich 7, Carson 8\u003Cbr \/\u003EClaimed Winner Margin: Trump +3\u003Cbr \/\u003EStatus: Invalid survey results\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003EWhy?: The sample is not drawn at random from telephone numbers who then get qualified first as adults, then as likely voters. Assertion of definitely voting and exclusion based on lack of recall of polling station tainted sample.\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EFlawed Methodology: Likely Republican primary voters were selected at random from a list of registered voters. Only voters determined likely to attend the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary were included in the sample.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ETwo questions served as selection variables. The first question asked whether the respondent intends to attend the primary on February 20th; all responses other than “definitely” or “voted absentee” were excluded from the dataset. The\u003Cbr \/\u003Esecond question asked whether the respondent knew where their primary will be held (e.g. church, school); all responses of “I don’t know” (for those who did not vote absentee) were excluded from the dataset.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003ENBC\/WSJ\/Marist\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EClaimed Result: Trump 28, Rubio 15, Cruz 23, Bush 13, Kasich 9, Carson 9\u003Cbr \/\u003EClaimed Winner Margin: Trump +5\u003Cbr \/\u003EStatus: Invalid survey results\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003EWhy?: The sample is not drawn from the first adult contacted regardless of sex. Instead, the survey targeted the youngest male first.\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAs well, the randomness of the survey became further eroded when matching against another sample with embedded error.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAlso the survey is spread over a few days, which calls into question voting based on different news about candidates.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EFlawed Methodology:\u003Cbr \/\u003EThis survey of 2,567 adults was conducted February 15th through February 17th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of South Carolina were interviewed in English by telephone using live interviewers.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ELandline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of South Carolina from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. To increase coverage, this landline sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Ci\u003ERespondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male.\u0026nbsp;\u003C\/i\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EBoth samples were matched by telephone number to a voter registration list for the state. Voter information was appended to each matched case. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection and L2 for voter registration information.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAfter the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region except for race, which is from the 2010 census.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EResults are statistically significant within ±1.9 percentage points. There are 2,282 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.1 percentage points. \u0026nbsp;Among registered voters, 823 had a phone match in the voter file and 1,459 did not. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.4 percentage points and ±2.6 percentage points, respectively. There are 1,227 voters in the potential Republican primary electorate. The potential Republican primary electorate in South Carolina includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and those who identify as Republicans or Republican leaning independents without a primary preference.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EThere are 836 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in South Carolina includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Democratic presidential primary and those who identify as Democrats or Democratic leaning independents without a primary preference. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±2.8 percentage points and ±3.4 percentage points, respectively.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EThere are 722 likely Republican primary voters and 425 likely Democratic primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 South Carolina Republican\/Democratic Presidential Primary based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.6 percentage points and ±4.8 percentage points, respectively. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Ch3\u003EPOLLING DONE RIGHT\u003C\/h3\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003EThe\u0026nbsp;\u003Ca href=\"https:\/\/drive.google.com\/file\/d\/0B4lhKxf9pMitS2lQdjNTMTVFQjQ\/view?pref=2\u0026amp;pli=1\"\u003ESC House GOP\u003C\/a\u003E has done polling right.\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003EClaimed Result: Trump 34, Rubio 18, Cruz 19, Bush 12, Kasich 8, Carson 5\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003EClaimed Winner Margin: Trump +15\u003C\/div\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003EWhy?: \u003Cb\u003ERespondents were contacted on the same day. The questions were asked in the same way. The calls were placed at random. The first adult contacted was the accepted contact.\u003C\/b\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003ESolid Methodology:\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003ELikely Republican presidential primary voters were selected at random from a list of registered voters based on party participation and registration date. Household ages and locations were extracted as well from this list. In excess of 180,000 households were called over the duration of the poll. Each household participant was asked to opt-in to the survey if they planned to vote in the 2016 SC presidential primary. \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp;\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003EUsing automated voice response technology allows each participant to hear the questions exactly the same way, from the same voice, spoken with the same tone and nuance. Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a stratified process that insures approrpiate geographic representation. These calls were placed from 10:30am to 8:30pm local time on Thursday, February 18th.\u003C\/div\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E"},"link":[{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/2938080886449362778\/posts\/default\/1138275441744475685"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/2938080886449362778\/posts\/default\/1138275441744475685"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/truedollarjournal.blogspot.com\/2016\/02\/the-augusta-chronicle-nbc-tv-wall.html","title":"THE AUGUSTA CHRONICLE, NBC TV, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL AND MARIST COLLEGE ENGAGE IN POLLING DECEPTION FOR THE SOUTH CAROLINA REPUBLICAN PRIMARY"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Anonymous"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/15342121843435066933"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"https:\/\/img1.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}]},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2938080886449362778.post-1779568115352325434"},"published":{"$t":"2016-02-11T10:53:00.000-08:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2018-05-07T14:00:46.387-07:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"2016"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"politics"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"polling"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"POTUS"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"propaganda"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"WHY EVERY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION POLL FOR 2016 YOU SHALL SEE OR HEAR WILL BE WRONG"},"content":{"type":"html","$t":"Every poll that you will see and hear reported by television broadcasters, hear reported\u0026nbsp;by\u0026nbsp;radio broadcasters, or read published by newspapers and websites regarding the\u0026nbsp;upcoming presidential race will be fabricated and not scientific.\u0026nbsp;\u003Cb\u003EEvery survey will be flawed and unscientific. Thus no results they claim can get projected to the universe of voters.\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cb\u003E\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-JqSkXfymtEA\/VrzWqrSC21I\/AAAAAAAAApQ\/UFArP69wYaA\/s1600\/dewey-defeats-truman.jpg\" imageanchor=\"1\"\u003E\u003Cimg border=\"0\" height=\"524\" src=\"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-JqSkXfymtEA\/VrzWqrSC21I\/AAAAAAAAApQ\/UFArP69wYaA\/s640\/dewey-defeats-truman.jpg\" width=\"640\" \/\u003E\u003C\/a\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/b\u003EPollsters use a totally wrong, unscientific method. Typically, they survey between 700 and 1,000 people chosen randomly. Let's say these 1,000 people get chosen by equal distribution, that is, 20 in each state.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ENo one can project the results from a mere 20 persons to the universe of voters in any state. Thus, the number of surveys completed would be too small. Every statistician worth his salt should know this truth.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EHowever, there is a far more damning reason why you should denounce all polls being foisted upon you. \u003Cb\u003EBecause of the electoral college, the presidential election is\u0026nbsp;fifty eight (58)\u0026nbsp;separate elections and requires 58 surveys for\u0026nbsp;full coverage to predict the full results.\u0026nbsp;\u003C\/b\u003EAn accurate poll must account for the electoral college since\u0026nbsp;presidential election doesn't get decided by the popular vote.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EThere is one election in each of 48 states that have winner-take-all elections for the electoral college electors and one more for the District of Columbia. Two states,\u0026nbsp;Maine and Nebraska, lack winner-take-all elections. Those states combine for nine elections.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAccording to\u0026nbsp;\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/www.archives.gov\/federal-register\/electoral-college\/about.html\"\u003EThe U.S. National Archives and Records Administration\u003C\/a\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cblockquote class=\"tr_bq\"\u003E\u003Ci\u003EThe founding fathers established [the Electoral College] in the Constitution as a compromise between election of the President by a vote in Congress and election of the President by a popular vote of qualified citizens.\u0026nbsp;\u003C\/i\u003E\u003C\/blockquote\u003E\u003Cblockquote class=\"tr_bq\"\u003E\u003Ci\u003EThe Electoral College process consists of the selection of the electors, the meeting of the electors where they vote for President and Vice President, and the counting of the electoral votes by Congress.\u003C\/i\u003E\u003C\/blockquote\u003E\u003Cblockquote class=\"tr_bq\"\u003E\u003Ci\u003EThe Electoral College consists of 538 electors. A majority of 270 electoral votes is required to elect the President. Your state’s entitled allotment of electors equals the number of members in its Congressional delegation: one for each member in the House of Representatives plus two for your Senators. \u0026nbsp;\u003C\/i\u003E\u003C\/blockquote\u003E\u003Cblockquote class=\"tr_bq\"\u003E\u003Ci\u003EUnder the 23rd Amendment of the Constitution, the District of Columbia is allocated 3 electors and treated like a state for purposes of the Electoral College. For this reason, in the following discussion, the word “state” also refers to the District of Columbia.\u003C\/i\u003E\u003C\/blockquote\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003EIf a pollster did not need to account for the electoral college, to get a margin of error ± 4% would require 784 completed surveys at the\u0026nbsp;95% confidence level. Yet, because a presidential election is 58 separate elections and not one, proper polling requires 58 polls, each with 784 completed questionnaires for a margin of error of ±4%. That's 48 polls for the all-or-nothing states and nine polls for each electoral district of Maine and Nebraska.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003EFor results that have a margin of error ±4% at the 95% confidence anyone surveying would need to complete 45,472 surveys and all on the same day! \u003C\/b\u003EOtherwise, you don't have a scientifically conducted poll with results that can get projected to the universe of voters.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cdiv style=\"text-align: center;\"\u003E\u003Ccode\u003EThe math: 784 surveys × 58 = 45,472\u003C\/code\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EThe \u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/www.eac.gov\/research\/election_administration_and_voting_survey.aspx\"\u003EUnited States Election Assistance Commission\u003C\/a\u003E, which Congress established by the Help America Vote Act of 2002 (HAVA) as an independent, bipartisan commission, serves as a national clearinghouse of information on election administration and produces the \u0026nbsp;foremost data collection effort related to voter registration, election administration, and the ways in which Americans cast their ballots.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EThe EAC defines two concepts:\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Col\u003E\u003Cli\u003E\u003Cb\u003EVoting Age Population (VAP)\u003C\/b\u003E: People who are 18 years of age or older, regardless of whether they are eligible to register to vote.\u0026nbsp;\u003C\/li\u003E\u003Cli\u003E\u003Cb\u003ECitizen Voting Age Population (CVAP)\u003C\/b\u003E: Persons \u0026nbsp;who are citizens and of voting age (18 years or older). These numbers are estimates generated by the U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey.\u003C\/li\u003E\u003C\/ol\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EWe only care about the CVAP numbers. With the CVAP numbers, for each state, we can adjust the number of needed completed questionnaires to the count of legal voters in each state and still maintain our targeted margin of error with confidence. As it turns out, we can cut down the number of completed questionnaires to 600 for each state, except Wyoming, which we can cut down by one less to 599.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EHere is what the completed questionnaire counts should look like:\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Ciframe height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1mk80JrqRoEvYoH9ixrJTA7Lle11ciKzo1pejb1lCtxo\/pubhtml?gid=0\u0026amp;single=true\u0026amp;widget=true\u0026amp;headers=false\" width=\"640\"\u003E\u003C\/iframe\u003E \u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAlso, if some of the survey respondents complete a questionnaire before a candidate said something controversial, say freeze all immigration from countries with Mohammadans, while other survey respondents complete\\ the same questionnaire afterward, the results cannot be used since the opinions are collected on different facts. Time-sensitive surveys like voting surveys must be done on the same day for all respondents to be accurate.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ENow, during the 2012 presidential election campaign, a pollster would have needed to complete 9,000 questionnaires all on the same day to predict Obama the winner.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Ciframe height=\"500\" src=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1mk80JrqRoEvYoH9ixrJTA7Lle11ciKzo1pejb1lCtxo\/pubhtml?gid=754424036\u0026amp;single=true\u0026amp;widget=true\u0026amp;headers=false\" width=\"640\"\u003E\u003C\/iframe\u003E \u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cb\u003ENearly all presidential election polls have completed survey counts of 500 to 1,000. Thus, the results from such polls cannot be projected to the universe of likely voters, hence such pollsters report wrong results. \u003C\/b\u003EIn short, do not believe any of those polls.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAlso, every time another variable gets added, doubling of completed surveys must happen. So if a legit pollster wants to know how Latina females plan to vote, such a pollster would need to complete a whopping 89,376 surveys on the same day within a tight news window!\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003EEvery poll ever reported on television and every poll ever printed in a newspaper regarding presidential races have been fabricated. Such polls were never scientific. Until polls adopt the scientific method of polling, all future presidential polls will be wrong.\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb style=\"background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 19.6px;\"\u003EDisclosure\u003C\/b\u003E\u003Cspan style=\"background-color: white; color: #222222; font-family: \u0026quot;arial\u0026quot; , \u0026quot;tahoma\u0026quot; , \u0026quot;helvetica\u0026quot; , \u0026quot;freesans\u0026quot; , sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 19.6px;\"\u003E: I used to work as the director of public opinion polling and marketing research for a Dow Jones owned newspaper. My grad work at S.I. Newhouse School of Public Communications included public opinion polling.\u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E"},"link":[{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/2938080886449362778\/posts\/default\/1779568115352325434"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/2938080886449362778\/posts\/default\/1779568115352325434"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/truedollarjournal.blogspot.com\/2016\/02\/why-every-presidential-election-poll.html","title":"WHY EVERY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION POLL FOR 2016 YOU SHALL SEE OR HEAR WILL BE WRONG"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Anonymous"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/15342121843435066933"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"https:\/\/img1.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"media$thumbnail":{"xmlns$media":"http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/","url":"https:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-JqSkXfymtEA\/VrzWqrSC21I\/AAAAAAAAApQ\/UFArP69wYaA\/s72-c\/dewey-defeats-truman.jpg","height":"72","width":"72"}},{"id":{"$t":"tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2938080886449362778.post-1009336517228324067"},"published":{"$t":"2014-10-01T13:13:00.000-07:00"},"updated":{"$t":"2016-03-14T11:50:57.419-07:00"},"category":[{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"California"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"Karthick Ramakrishnan"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"politics"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"polling"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"public opinion"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"racism"},{"scheme":"http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#","term":"scientific polling"}],"title":{"type":"text","$t":"DUELING OP-EDS OVER RACIST AFFIRMATIVE ACTION IN CALIFORNIA"},"content":{"type":"html","$t":"\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/opinion\/opinion-la\/la-ol-affirmative-action-sca5-asian-americans-20141001-story.html\"\u003EIn a L.A. Times op-ed piece, Yunlei Yang\u003C\/a\u003E, a committee member of the Silicon Valley Chinese Association, answered\u0026nbsp;\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/www.latimes.com\/opinion\/commentary\/la-oe-0925-ramakrishnan-affirmative-action-asians--20140925-story.html\"\u003Eanother L.A. Times op-ed by Karthick Ramakrishnan\u003C\/a\u003E,\u0026nbsp;\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/www.politicalscience.ucr.edu\/people\/faculty\/ramakrishnan\/\"\u003Ea Ph.D.\u0026nbsp;in politics from Princeton University who now works at UC Riverside\u003C\/a\u003E.\u0026nbsp;Yang takes offense against Ramakrishnan's claim that self-identifying Asians support unconstitutional Affirmative Action in California. Ramakrishnan makes his claim based on purported survey results from The National Asian American Survey, for which Ramakrishnan is the director.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cdiv class=\"separator\" style=\"clear: both; text-align: center;\"\u003E\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-Q6qk9kHCeK4\/VCxvd9aUUQI\/AAAAAAAAzKE\/2UVJsRR0Mmk\/s1600\/Chinese-vs-georgetown.jpg\" imageanchor=\"1\" style=\"margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;\"\u003E\u003Cimg border=\"0\" src=\"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-Q6qk9kHCeK4\/VCxvd9aUUQI\/AAAAAAAAzKE\/2UVJsRR0Mmk\/s1600\/Chinese-vs-georgetown.jpg\" height=\"444\" width=\"640\" \/\u003E\u003C\/a\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EBoth in 2012 and in 2014, The National Asian American Survey had their survey contractor, Field, ask this:\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cblockquote class=\"tr_bq\"\u003E\u003Ci\u003E\"Do you favor or oppose affirmative action programs designed to help blacks, women and other minorities get better jobs and education?\"\u003C\/i\u003E\u003C\/blockquote\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cb\u003EThat question suffers intense question bias and thus cannot get used to project to a universe of respondents.\u003C\/b\u003E Specifically, the question contains biasing words: \u003Ci\u003Ehelp, blacks, women, minorities, better\u003C\/i\u003E. In short, because of the biasing words, the results from that question are little more than opinions of respondents, opinions which cannot get used to predict what self-identifying Asians believe as a whole.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ETo be valid, the question should have been asked this way:\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cblockquote class=\"tr_bq\"\u003E\u003Ci\u003E\"Do you favor or oppose law, which gives some individuals advantages for admissions to college or university because of their race, ethnicity or sex?\"\u003C\/i\u003E\u003C\/blockquote\u003E\u003Cblockquote class=\"tr_bq\"\u003E\u003Ci\u003E\"Do you favor or oppose law, which gives some individuals advantages to be hired for work because of their race, ethnicity or sex?\"\u003C\/i\u003E\u003C\/blockquote\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EAs well, half of the respondents should have been asked, \"Do you oppose or favor\" while the other half should have been asked, \"Do you favor or oppose.\"\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cimg src=\"http:\/\/thegrio.files.wordpress.com\/2013\/12\/bruce-lee-vs-kareem.jpg\" height=\"358\" width=\"640\" \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EMany surveys, especially those related to politics suffer from questionnaire bias, sampling bias and other flaws. News media all too often publish results as gospel truth rather than examining questionnaires for flaws.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EMisleading polling participants with biased question and then getting bogus findings published as pseudo-scientific fact so to shape public opinion through media is what push polling is all about. Those behind push polling suffer from moral bankruptcy.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Ca href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/California_Proposition_209\"\u003EBack in 2009, enlightened California voters passed California Proposition 209\u003C\/a\u003E, which \u0026nbsp;amended the state constitution to prohibit state government institutions from considering race, sex, or ethnicity, specifically in the areas of public employment, public contracting, and public education.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ESince the passage of Proposition 209, the African American graduation rate at the University of California, Berkeley increased by 6.5%. As well, \u0026nbsp;the African American graduation rate\u0026nbsp;rose from 26% to 52% at the University of California, San Diego.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ERegardless of rhetoric, race-based affirmative action is racism. Sex-based affirmative action is still racism.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ELetting stupid people attend public colleges and universities at taxpayers' expense merely because they have African ancestors or have Central American ancestors who bred with Spanish speakers rather than letting those with Asian ancestors or Western European ancestors who earned their admissions on merit is, well, racist. As well, it is little more than sex racism to give preferential treatment to women for college admissions or public employment.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003ENAACP blacks, NOW feminists, Act UP! homosexists, La Raza Latinos — they are the racists. The rest of us are not.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EDiversity is rhetorical code-speak for seeking racist advantage against a falsely perceived enemy — \"white\" males of primarily of Northern European ancestry and Anglo-Norman culture.\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003EWe're living in the 21st century. Isn't it time Americans call for an end to racism by putting an end to politicians who pander to people using rhetorical appeals and financial bribes merely because of their ancestry?\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\u003Cdiv\u003E\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: x-small;\"\u003EDisclosure: My career includes work as a director of public opinion polling and a director of marketing research. I completed graduate level coursework with distinction in Advertising Research and Public Opinion polling at the fabled S. I. Newhouse School of Public Communication.\u003C\/span\u003E\u003C\/div\u003E"},"link":[{"rel":"edit","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/2938080886449362778\/posts\/default\/1009336517228324067"},{"rel":"self","type":"application/atom+xml","href":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/feeds\/2938080886449362778\/posts\/default\/1009336517228324067"},{"rel":"alternate","type":"text/html","href":"http:\/\/truedollarjournal.blogspot.com\/2014\/10\/dueling-op-eds-over-racist-affirmative.html","title":"DUELING OP-EDS OVER RACIST AFFIRMATIVE ACTION IN CALIFORNIA"}],"author":[{"name":{"$t":"Anonymous"},"uri":{"$t":"http:\/\/www.blogger.com\/profile\/15342121843435066933"},"email":{"$t":"noreply@blogger.com"},"gd$image":{"rel":"http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail","width":"16","height":"16","src":"https:\/\/img1.blogblog.com\/img\/b16-rounded.gif"}}],"media$thumbnail":{"xmlns$media":"http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/","url":"http:\/\/3.bp.blogspot.com\/-Q6qk9kHCeK4\/VCxvd9aUUQI\/AAAAAAAAzKE\/2UVJsRR0Mmk\/s72-c\/Chinese-vs-georgetown.jpg","height":"72","width":"72"}}]}});